CategoriesOpinion

Apartment buildings: Serious buyers only

The market supply for available apartment buildings is at an all-time low. Or, should I say, sellable apartment buildings are.

We all know that the value of apartment buildings has dramatically changed since the rates have risen from the low two per cent range to the high four per cent range.

However, many potential sellers are still clinging to the idea that they can sell at 2021 prices, which is no longer realistic.

As a result, there has been a dramatic increase in the number of expired listings, which is damaging to both sellers and brokers.

Sellers must face new economic reality

For the seller, unrealistic price expectations deter serious buyers from putting forward reasonable offers. For the broker, an expired listing means no pay and reputation challenges.

Taking a listing at “any price” is not beneficial to either party. And apartment buildings – the safest real estate investment – should never remain unsold or expire at this rate!

As the market begins to respond to more stable interest rates, serious sellers are still present and there are many serious buyers looking to invest their cash.

However, the down payment in proportion to the loan has to make sense for both parties.

If you are a seller who has accepted the fact that your 2021 valuation is no longer accurate, there are buyers out there.

Buyers: Offer your “best price”

Similarly, if you are a buyer who is willing to buy at reasonable numbers, your seriousness toward the purchase price you put forward is more important than ever.

Private sellers take time to adjust to the fact that their building is worth less today than it was two years ago. Therefore, it is crucial not to put a deal under contract and start renegotiating.

Today’s sellers are less patient than before (since they feel they are taking a “discount” to begin with), and buyers should come in with their best price and close the deal without delay.

Remember, a seller who has come to terms with the current valuation of their building will not have patience for buyers “nibbling” at the purchase price for minor defects, like they may have in the past when the margins were much higher.

If you are a serious buyer in today’s market, we recommend taking a more proactive approach with brokers who are currently transacting, i.e. put yourself forward as willing and able to drop an offer quickly.

Even months or years after having a building expire, a seller may be weary of doing a proper listing process again, as that experience caused the seller time and effort and has surely incurred them emotional dissatisfaction.

Such sellers, either based on their personal experience, or by just observing the market, are much more likely to entertain a one-off deal from a buyer that has the proper reputation (or for whom the broker can, more-or-less, vouch based on previous transactional experience).

In general, if you are a serious buyer, do not underestimate the psychological impact the doubling of interest rates has had on the majority of owners/sellers of apartment buildings and tailor your approach accordingly.

Immobilier Baron se spécialise dans la mise en relation d'acheteurs et de vendeurs d'immeubles d'appartements. L'auteur,

Ramona Ursu works in partnership with Mikael Kurkdjian and a team of real estate professionals to bring the best boutique-brokerage services to the apartment transactional space in Ontario and Quebec. ramona@baronrealty.ca

CategoriesConseil

The Relationship Between Cap Rate and Upside Potential

Investing in real estate, especially multifamily properties, can be a rewarding venture over the long run. To make informed decisions, it’s crucial to understand essential concepts like the capitalization rate (cap rate) and the potential for rental income growth. This article aims to shed light on the relationship between cap rate and upside potential, which is often misunderstood in the real estate market as most sellers, investors talk about cap rate without mentioning the upside potential in the rents.

The cap rate a definition

The capitalization rate (cap rate) is defined as a property’s net income divided by the sale price. It’s an important metric used by investors to evaluate potential investments. However, the cap rate alone does not provide a complete picture of an investment’s potential. The potential for rental income growth, or “upside,” also plays a significant role in the decision-making process.

When a buyer or multifamily investor perceives substantial upside potential in a property’s rental income, they may be willing to accept a lower cap rate at the time of purchase. This is because the investor anticipates that the property’s net income will increase once the rental rates are raised, ultimately leading to a higher cap rate and justifying the initial purchase price. Of course, achieving this rental growth often comes with costs, such as renovations, which can be a topic for another discussion.

The cap rate and link with upside potential

On the other hand, if a property has limited upside potential, a potential buyer may require a higher cap rate. This is because the buyer anticipates that the property’s net income will not increase significantly in the future, so they need a higher initial return to justify this investment. Thus, as multifamily property owners and commercial real estate brokers, it’s essential to consider both cap rate and upside potential when evaluating investment opportunities. The cap rate alone is insufficient without understanding the potential for rental income growth.

Conclusion

In summary, the relationship between cap rate and upside potential can be described as follows: the lower the upside potential in rents, the higher the cap rate will be; conversely, the higher the upside potential in rents, the lower the cap rate can be.

Understanding the intricate relationship between cap rate and upside potential is vital for making well-informed decisions in multifamily investing.

Immobilier Baron se spécialise dans la mise en relation d'acheteurs et de vendeurs d'immeubles d'appartements. L'auteur, Mikael Kurkdjian travaille en partenariat avec Ramona Ursu et une équipe de professionnels de l'immobilier pour offrir les meilleurs services de courtage de type boutique dans le domaine des transactions d'appartements en Ontario et au Québec. mkurkdjian@baronrealty.ca

CategoriesConseil

The No. 1 marketing ‘secret’ for multifamily investment

The first focus for any commercial real estate broker when taking on a listing should be pricing properties correctly in order to not miss out on the serious buyers.

The right price is determined by many factors, including of course the asset itself (size, location, comparable other assets available or recently traded), but most importantly on cash flow and the available financing.

While the cash flow is more or less in the hands of the ownership group (maximizing prior to sale), the available loan is always in the hands of then-current economic factors.

In a seller’s market, based on our experience there will be three to five perfect buyers. In a buyer’s market this number drops. Mispricing a property means missing out on these top buyers – investors who should own the building based on their investment criteria and current portfolio.

The difference in pricing from the top buyers to the next group (second-tier, second-best buyers) will be over five to 10 per cent. The third tier of buyers will be even lower.

Why the correct price matters

For example, if a property is worth between $5 million to $5.1 million and is on the market asking $5.15 million, the serious offers will be submitted in the range of the asking price, plus or minus a few percentage points.

Going to market asking $5.5 million or higher means the otherwise interested buyers would not even make an offer – they believe the price discrepancy is too great to warrant the time they would spend running the numbers and going into a due diligence process.

All investors start by doing a quick calculation as to cap rate and price per unit and if this differs significantly, they will disqualify the asset and their interest for the time being.

Now the only attention the listing will get will be from opportunistic buyers waiting for the price to drop into the range of $4.5 million to $4.75 million – or even lower.

The top and logical buyers have already skipped on the listing, as it was overpriced.

The larger the gap between the asking price and the real price the market affords, the worse will be the results for the seller.

In the best-case scenario, the listing will expire.

In the worst-case scenario the seller will tie up the building with an opportunistic buyer who will “nibble” on the deal as they go along, renegotiating at every step, asking for a long due diligence process and wasting everybody’s precious time.

These buyers often have several buildings “tied up” at any given time by simply placing a refundable deposit. They will only close on the one deal they get at their target price and drop the rest.

Hence, sellers should go to market priced correctly – based on then-current market pricing – or skip going to market altogether (hold the asset and focus on increasing the NOI).

2022 multifamily investment recap for Greater Montreal

In 2022 we witnessed a major drop in transactions during the second half of the year. Both the number of transactions and volume dropped 60 per cent in Greater Montreal during the second half of 2022.

Sellers were holding on to outdated pricing, and buyers stopped buying in the higher-interest-rate environment.

Real estate in 2023 is still expected to be a popular choice for investors.

No one really knows where interest rates will be (judging by the behaviour of the world’s central bankers, it seems they don’t know either), yet despite this uncertainty many investors are still looking to multifamily and rental real estate to generate their passive income and build wealth.

If you are a seller in today’s environment, you will sell as long as the asking price is in line with today’s market.

If you are not yet ready, it is best to hold the asset rather than “trying” the market (i.e. listing at the price you want to achieve if this is significantly higher than market prices).

Baron Realty specializes in matching buyers and sellers of apartment buildings. The author, Mikael Kurkdjian works in partnership with Ramona Ursu and a team of real estate professionals to bring the best boutique-brokerage services to the apartment transactional space in Ontario and Quebec.

Québec

Baron Realty / Immobilier Baron
400 – 6500 Transcanadienne
Pointe-Claire, Québec H9R 0A5
Telephone: 514 932 9000

Ontario

Baron Realty, Brokerage
303-225 Duncan Mill Road
Toronto, Ontario M3B 3K9
Telephone: 416 301 3931

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